
MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for August 21 at 7:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Volume
$93.2K
Liquidity
$70.6K
Spread
0.010
Closes
21 Aug 2026 UTC
Status
active
Resolution
https://www.mlb.com/scores
Updated
22 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC
External ID
3748478
| Label | Price | Bid | Ask | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Orioles | 24.5% | 0.240 | 0.250 | 0.010 |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 75.5% | 0.750 | 0.760 | 0.010 |
condition 0xc0a8ce24c058eac7a552f8ccd73c0b3233a3ffc265d9abc107e8bef4888db065
Simulation only. Buys fill at the ask, sells fill at the bid. No wallet.
Hosted paper writes are disabled.
bid 0.240 · ask 0.250
From M/ARC stored snapshots. Not a live Polymarket chart.
No flow window yet. Run `npm run flow:ingest` then `npm run flow:aggregate`.
Public wallet identifiers only. History is not copied into a position.
No recent public actors on this market.
No evidence packet yet. Run `npm run evidence` then `npm run forecast -- --prompt=forecast-v3`.
No directional signals extracted.
No model prediction yet
Run npm run forecast