Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Cash benchmark. No-trade control; equity stays at starting capital.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Net edge below 3 pt threshold after spread and costs
NET_EDGE_BELOW_MIN
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Cash benchmark. No-trade control; equity stays at starting capital.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Cash benchmark. No-trade control; equity stays at starting capital.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Evidence quality is below moderate.
THIN_EVIDENCE
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Cash benchmark. No-trade control; equity stays at starting capital.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Cash benchmark. No-trade control; equity stays at starting capital.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Cash benchmark. No-trade control; equity stays at starting capital.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Cash benchmark. No-trade control; equity stays at starting capital.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Cash benchmark. No-trade control; equity stays at starting capital.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Evidence quality is below moderate.
THIN_EVIDENCE
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Cash benchmark. No-trade control; equity stays at starting capital.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Cash benchmark. No-trade control; equity stays at starting capital.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Cash benchmark. No-trade control; equity stays at starting capital.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Cash benchmark. No-trade control; equity stays at starting capital.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Cash benchmark. No-trade control; equity stays at starting capital.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Cash benchmark. No-trade control; equity stays at starting capital.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Cash benchmark. No-trade control; equity stays at starting capital.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Cash benchmark. No-trade control; equity stays at starting capital.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Cash benchmark. No-trade control; equity stays at starting capital.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Cash benchmark. No-trade control; equity stays at starting capital.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Cash benchmark. No-trade control; equity stays at starting capital.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Cash benchmark. No-trade control; equity stays at starting capital.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Evidence quality is below moderate.
THIN_EVIDENCE
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live