
MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Musetti and Frances Tiafoe in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Frances Tiafoe. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Lorenzo Musetti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$484.8K
Liquidity
$403.5K
Spread
0.010
Closes
28 Aug 2026 UTC
Status
active
Resolution
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Updated
22 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC
External ID
3736789
| Label | Price | Bid | Ask | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Musetti | 46.5% | 0.460 | 0.470 | 0.010 |
| Frances Tiafoe | 53.5% | 0.530 | 0.540 | 0.010 |
condition 0xb6fff9e53cbeb41d643bde59e7da087cc13b3719300d650c5d5730be131fe93f
Simulation only. Buys fill at the ask, sells fill at the bid. No wallet.
Hosted paper writes are disabled.
bid 0.460 · ask 0.470
From M/ARC stored snapshots. Not a live Polymarket chart.
No flow window yet. Run `npm run flow:ingest` then `npm run flow:aggregate`.
Public wallet identifiers only. History is not copied into a position.
No recent public actors on this market.
No evidence packet yet. Run `npm run evidence` then `npm run forecast -- --prompt=forecast-v3`.
No directional signals extracted.
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