MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS
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Forecast
forecast-v1
$1,000.00
Cash
$1,000.00
Exposure
$0.00
Realized P&L
$0.00
Unrealized P&L
$0.00
Return
0.00%
Max drawdown
0.00%
Open
0
Trades
0
Decisions
860
ENTER/ADD
0
PASS
294
REJECTED
98
No open positions.
No paper trades.
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
FORECAST
ATTENTIONNOEdge 8.0 ptsConfidence 40%
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
22 Aug 2026, 00:01 UTC · live
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
FORECAST
ATTENTIONYESEdge 11.9 ptsConfidence 35%
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
22 Aug 2026, 00:01 UTC · live
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
FORECAST
ATTENTIONNOEdge 45.5 ptsConfidence 35%
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
22 Aug 2026, 00:01 UTC · live
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
FORECAST
ATTENTIONYESEdge 4.7 ptsConfidence 40%
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
22 Aug 2026, 00:01 UTC · live
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
FORECAST
ATTENTIONNOEdge 6.6 ptsConfidence 50%
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
22 Aug 2026, 00:01 UTC · live
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
FORECAST
ATTENTIONYESEdge 8.3 ptsConfidence 40%
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
22 Aug 2026, 00:01 UTC · live
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
FORECAST
ATTENTIONYESEdge 14.5 ptsConfidence 40%
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
22 Aug 2026, 00:01 UTC · live
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
FORECAST
REJECTEDEdge —Confidence —
Hard constraint conflict: no entry.
REJECTED_CONSTRAINT_CONFLICT
22 Aug 2026, 00:01 UTC · live
FORECAST
REJECTEDEdge —Confidence —
Hard constraint conflict: no entry.
REJECTED_CONSTRAINT_CONFLICT
22 Aug 2026, 00:01 UTC · live
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
FORECAST
ATTENTIONYESEdge 4.6 ptsConfidence 40%
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
22 Aug 2026, 00:01 UTC · live
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
FORECAST
PASSEdge -1.3 ptsConfidence 40%
Net edge below 4 pt threshold after spread and costs
NET_EDGE_BELOW_MIN
22 Aug 2026, 00:01 UTC · live
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
FORECAST
ATTENTIONYESEdge 23.8 ptsConfidence 40%
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
22 Aug 2026, 00:01 UTC · live
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
FORECAST
ATTENTIONNOEdge 12.4 ptsConfidence 40%
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
22 Aug 2026, 00:01 UTC · live
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
FORECAST
ATTENTIONNOEdge 12.3 ptsConfidence 40%
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
22 Aug 2026, 00:01 UTC · live
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
FORECAST
ATTENTIONYESEdge 4.7 ptsConfidence 40%
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
22 Aug 2026, 00:01 UTC · live
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs
FORECAST
ATTENTIONNOEdge 16.4 ptsConfidence 40%
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
22 Aug 2026, 00:01 UTC · live
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
FORECAST
PASSEdge 0.6 ptsConfidence 40%
Net edge below 4 pt threshold after spread and costs
NET_EDGE_BELOW_MIN
22 Aug 2026, 00:01 UTC · live
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
FORECAST
ATTENTIONNOEdge 45.4 ptsConfidence 35%
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
22 Aug 2026, 00:01 UTC · live
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
FORECAST
REJECTEDEdge —Confidence —
Hard constraint conflict: no entry.
REJECTED_CONSTRAINT_CONFLICT
22 Aug 2026, 00:01 UTC · live
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
FORECAST
PASSEdge -1.3 ptsConfidence 45%
Net edge below 4 pt threshold after spread and costs
NET_EDGE_BELOW_MIN
22 Aug 2026, 00:01 UTC · live
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
FORECAST
ATTENTIONNOEdge 8.0 ptsConfidence 40%
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
FORECAST
ATTENTIONYESEdge 11.9 ptsConfidence 35%
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
FORECAST
ATTENTIONNOEdge 45.5 ptsConfidence 35%
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
FORECAST
ATTENTIONYESEdge 4.7 ptsConfidence 40%
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
FORECAST
ATTENTIONNOEdge 6.6 ptsConfidence 50%
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
FORECAST
ATTENTIONYESEdge 8.3 ptsConfidence 40%
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
FORECAST
ATTENTIONYESEdge 14.5 ptsConfidence 40%
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
FORECAST
REJECTEDEdge —Confidence —
Hard constraint conflict: no entry.
REJECTED_CONSTRAINT_CONFLICT
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
FORECAST
REJECTEDEdge —Confidence —
Hard constraint conflict: no entry.
REJECTED_CONSTRAINT_CONFLICT
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
FORECAST
ATTENTIONYESEdge 4.6 ptsConfidence 40%
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
FORECAST
PASSEdge -1.3 ptsConfidence 40%
Net edge below 4 pt threshold after spread and costs
NET_EDGE_BELOW_MIN
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
FORECAST
ATTENTIONYESEdge 23.8 ptsConfidence 40%
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
FORECAST
ATTENTIONNOEdge 12.4 ptsConfidence 40%
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
FORECAST
ATTENTIONNOEdge 12.3 ptsConfidence 40%
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
FORECAST
ATTENTIONYESEdge 4.7 ptsConfidence 40%
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs
FORECAST
ATTENTIONNOEdge 16.4 ptsConfidence 40%
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
FORECAST
PASSEdge 0.5 ptsConfidence 40%
Net edge below 4 pt threshold after spread and costs
NET_EDGE_BELOW_MIN
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
FORECAST
ATTENTIONNOEdge 45.4 ptsConfidence 35%
Forecast confidence below 0.60 entry threshold.
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
FORECAST
REJECTEDEdge —Confidence —
Hard constraint conflict: no entry.
REJECTED_CONSTRAINT_CONFLICT
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
FORECAST
PASSEdge -1.3 ptsConfidence 45%
Net edge below 4 pt threshold after spread and costs
NET_EDGE_BELOW_MIN
21 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · live
MARKET ANOMALIES, RELATIONSHIPS & CORRELATIONS